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according to a comprehensive survey conducted by Nikkei, South Korea's Maeil Business Newspaper, and China's Global Times. Despite escalating geopolitical risks, corporate leaders anticipate steady growth, with China witnessing a 12-point increase in respondents expecting rapid growth, reaching 67%, the highest among the three nations.Fueled by expectations of global economic growth, a majority of corporate heads anticipate a slight improvement in their companies' business environments over the next year. Nearly half of respondents from all three countries project an increase in planned capital investment spending for 2024, reflecting their positive outlook.Concerns, however, loom over the Chinese economy, with a poll of China-focused economists forecasting a growth rate of 4.6% for real GDP in 2024
The real estate downturn and reduced consumer spending contribute to the anticipation of slower economic growth in China compared to 2023.When asked about the impact of the slowing Chinese economy on their companies, a significant percentage of Japanese and South Korean business leaders expressed concerns about lower profits.
The forthcoming elections in the U.S. and Russia, shaping global affairs, contribute to heightened uncertainty.Notably, differences emerge in the perceived importance of events among the three countries. Japanese and South Korean business leaders focus on the U.S. presidential election as the most significant event of 2024, while Chinese respondents emphasize the global trend of regulating major technology companies.
The survey, conducted from December 7 to December 21, involved responses from 275 companies across Japan, China, and South Korea.
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